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Power without the DA - here’s a possible new Government of National Unity

If the DA pulls out of the GNU (before it is pushed by the ANC), then this is what a future GNU may look like.
Power without the DA - here’s a possible new Government of National Unity



In August 2024, Joel Netshitenzhe, the executive director of the think-tank Mistra (the Mapungubwe Institute for Strategic Reflection), anticipated the scenario that has now unfolded at Parliament.

His numbers show that without the DA, a Government of National Unity (GNU) would result in a 50-50 outcome with half of elected parties in a power-sharing government and the rest outside. Daily Maverick has added ActionSA and Mmusi Maimane’s Bosa as possible participants in the GNU, given their support to get the first of three legal measures approved to pass the Budget. 

This is a possible early scenario of a GNU 2.0 should the DA quit or be pushed out.

The Presidency has nudged the party out, saying “You can’t be part of a government whose Budget you did not approve,” as this report shows.

Read more: GNU 2.0 loading — ‘You can’t be part of a government whose Budget you opposed,’ says Presidency

Suné Payne reported here on the rapid-fire political fallout and the DA’s urgent approach to the Western Cape Division of the High Court.

In her founding affidavit to the court, the DA’s Helen Zille has asked it to temporarily interdict the implementation of the 0.5 percentage point VAT hike on 1 May 2025 in an action being brought against Minister of Finance Enoch Godongwana, SA Revenue Service (Sars) Commissioner Edward Kieswetter and Parliament.

In addition, the DA wants a section of the VAT Act declared invalid and unconstitutional as it does not anticipate or provide for sufficient parliamentary scrutiny under the principle of “no taxation without representation”. 

The party also wants the court to declare proceedings in the legislature on 2 April as unlawful and invalid, and to interdict the Sars commissioner from collecting the tax.

What does this mean for you?

 All we can say is “hold tight” and keep following Daily Maverick. DM

Comments

Arnold O Managra Apr 4, 2025, 03:01 AM

That's pretty much a lame duck parliament, with little likelihood of passing anything. On the other hand it's quite possible that the ANC/EFF/MK would vote together on progressive legislation like actual land or broader (pension fund? medical aid fund?) seizure (politely called "redistribution"). In any case it's unlikely to do SA's future prospects much good.

kanusukh Apr 4, 2025, 04:55 AM

I think you possible mean a predominantly 'white' party would not ne able to hold SA 'hostage' ?

Kel Varnsen Apr 4, 2025, 07:01 AM

Hostage to what? Real economic reform? How have the ANC policies helped the poor in this country?

Lucy Ferrao Apr 4, 2025, 05:06 PM

Their policies have kept the poorest uneducated and primed for votes

Fanie Rajesh Ngabiso Apr 4, 2025, 07:49 AM

You are poisoned by history to such a degree that you are wilfully blind to the obvious, at great cost to all of us. Tragically, the same holds true for a large portion of our electorate.

William Harmsen Apr 4, 2025, 08:25 AM

Any party who supports the ANC's additional vat is simply going to be remembered as a party who helped the ANC to additional funds to loot. This could come back to bite them come the next elections

Lucy Ferrao Apr 4, 2025, 05:07 PM

I cannot bend my mind around why citizens vote first the same over and over!

D'Esprit Dan Apr 4, 2025, 09:02 AM

How is wanting to grow the economy holding it hostage? The DA wants to get rid of the slush fund ponzi politics of the ANC and their R1 trillion theft (and counting) that ensures the enslavement of poor South Africans: 40% unemployment and 28 million on monthly social grants that are the equivalent of 1.5 days of work on minimum wage is holding people hostage and in permanent poverty. It's disgusting and entirely ANC to kick the poor hardest and then demand their votes every five years.

Rod MacLeod Apr 4, 2025, 03:13 PM

And this year's silver stirring paddle award goes to Can You Suck Here for interminable trolling and race baiting.

superjase Apr 4, 2025, 03:23 PM

if white south africans make up 7% of the population, and the DA received 22% of the votes, how is that a "predominantly white party"?

Jon Quirk Apr 4, 2025, 06:36 AM

This leaves the underlying problem, severely culling a Government of grotesque size, no nprincipal, and haven't grasped that reducing the cost of Government - slashing numbers of ministers and their perks - as well as heightening their efficacy is the nub of the problem. Putting South Africa, and South Africans interest first and central.

Lucy Ferrao Apr 4, 2025, 05:00 PM

De-bloating the cabinet is a must. So may of those fat cats need to be cut from the feeding trough.

John Kannemeyer Apr 4, 2025, 07:02 AM

I think the Article should be titled "Powerless without the DA - ", if Johannesburg and Tshwane are anything to go by, this will be a limping excuse of a GNU going forward if the DA depart.

megapode Apr 4, 2025, 08:51 AM

In both those metros government works when it comes to passing policy. But that's all. With a bit of whipping the hypothetical GNU would still pass policy. Whether anything comes of that or not remains to be seen. Don't pay too much attention to Mashaba. He's been making noises in Johannesburg about how the ANC hadn't kept their word to his party, but is he leaving that coalition? No he is not.

Pet Bug Apr 4, 2025, 07:42 AM

Will be interesting on which side the FF+ falls. If they leave, then the GNU2 won’t make it. But without FF+, EFF might join with their 39 seats. Then all bets are off.

megapode Apr 4, 2025, 08:56 AM

FF+ are not involved in the ANC/DA stand off. They'd be smart to stay where they are with the cabinet position they have, wield what influence they can, show what they can do in the world of real politics. By the same token the DA would do well to stay in the GNU, but their rhetoric is far more belligerent, which makes it harder for both sides.

Paddy Ross Apr 4, 2025, 10:47 AM

The DA should sit tight within the GNU. The electorate seems to be beginning to realise that the DA are in this for the benefit of all South Africans whereas it is 'same old, same old' with the ANC. It will do the ANC even more electoral harm if they try to force the DA out of the GNU.

Gronum Smith Apr 4, 2025, 11:31 AM

Agree 100!

Alison Joubert Apr 4, 2025, 01:51 PM

I agree that DA should stay in the GNU. But... Why are they so belligerent? What do they think that achieves? To me all they achieve is annoying and alienating the rest of the GNU, to the detriment of South Africa.

Willem Boshoff Apr 4, 2025, 08:31 AM

Seeing that the best performing ministries are heavily weighted towards the DA, I would expect any serious analysis to consider the political and economic slide back into wholesale incompetence. The markets will tell us the truth, though. Hard times ahead and very hard times if the DA leaves the GNU.

MT Wessels Apr 4, 2025, 12:08 PM

I agree with your conclusion, but let's not get carried away by the portfolios of Home Affairs or Agriculture. No matter how efficient the DA manages those, the ANC controls the money, mining & energy, police, health, and foreign affairs. There lies the power.

michele35 Apr 4, 2025, 09:15 AM

The proof will be the borrowing premium that will placed on SA bonds and the losses in the job market once AGOA is scrapped and the tariffs start kicking in. As much as one sounds like a sadist not even reality will change the obtuse thinking of some politicians who have no understanding of the ministries they are supposedly responsible for. Sarupen's interview with Haffajee should clear any doubts as to why this budget could not be acccepted by any sane thinking person.

User Apr 4, 2025, 09:54 AM

We vote, but our vote clearly means nothing...politicians on all sides do what they want! Feeling utterly frustrated and rather hopeless at this point. Cry our beloved country!

Rae Earl Apr 4, 2025, 11:45 AM

The whole concept of assembling this mob as a proposed alternative GNU is fraught with problems which would destroy it within a few months. Imagine to factionalism, the vying for seats and positions, the never ending back biting and in-fighting that would ensue. Worth a laugh but hugely tragic for SA if it actually happened.

Fanie Rajesh Ngabiso Apr 4, 2025, 02:57 PM

The DA's primary failing? It is too good for this ANC criminal rich farce of a government. (but the obvious will get wrapped up in the easy race hate blanket as always ...for subscribers to this dimwitted racist thinking, I defer to @kanu-sukha)

Johan Herholdt Apr 4, 2025, 02:59 PM

The ministries occupied by the DA have already shown their mettle (maybe not Agriculture) and, of course, the ANC will try to get rid of them not to be shown up for the utter failures most of their incumbents are - never mind the criminals parading as ministers.

Sandra Goldberg Apr 4, 2025, 05:32 PM

Will Cyril Ramsphosa listen to Business who wants the DA to stay in the GNU, or to his cadre comrades who want the party gone. even though( or probably because) the latest Brenthurst report shows 60% more respondents approve of the GNU than the stand alone ANC government

Arnold O Managra Apr 5, 2025, 12:24 AM

I suspect that the DA voters are providing the majority of SA's income tax. DA voters are mostly middle-class urban denizens. The ANC's voters are potential MK voters - rural or urban unemployed or living wage line. At some stage the Tea Party revolt will happen in SA. Taxation without representation is not obviously beneficial. Taxation with no obvious benefit - water, electricity, infrastructure is even worse. Tax revolt is imminent. Google Tea Party

A Rosebank Ratepayer Apr 5, 2025, 04:40 AM

Don’t understand table - surely DA should be moved to 3rd column to be aligned with the article’s heading? That will leave 208 seats in GNU with the addition of Action SA and Rise Mzansi.