Dailymaverick logo

Maverick News

This article is more than a year old

Maverick News

Thabo Mbeki’s powerful words of anger point to the ANC’s bleak future

While much of the current political focus is on the national coalition, an intriguing question is whether the ANC is capable of recovery. One of its most popular leaders, former president Thabo Mbeki, has proposed what he believes the party needs to do to recover — including a suggestion that the ANC should concentrate on improving the lives of citizens.
Thabo Mbeki’s powerful words of anger point to the ANC’s bleak future

On Sunday, News24 published a report based on a speech given by former president Thabo Mbeki during a Gauteng ANC leadership workshop at the weekend — one of a series of meetings ANC leaders have been holding after the elections.

Mbeki asked, “What is it that we must do to ensure that we turn the page, and actually deliver the goods and services expected of us in the provincial, national and municipal levels?”

His point was that if the ANC were to deliver for the people, then they would vote for the party.

While it beggars belief that political leaders need to be told this, Mbeki clearly felt that this obvious point needed to be spelt out.

One can understand why.

News24 reported that Mbeki then “relayed a story told to him by an unnamed provincial ANC chairperson, who informed him about a region where ‘every single ANC branch is led by a criminal’. ANC leaders in the room started laughing.”

He also said (without evidence) that the ANC did not campaign in Newcastle (KZN) in the 2021 local elections because had it done so, it would have had to install criminals as local councillors.

Deep-rooted criminality


We can glean much from this.

First, a former leader of the ANC believes criminality is deeply rooted in the party, perhaps to the point where it cannot be removed.

Second, this did not come as a surprise to ANC leaders.

Over the years, Mbeki has often been critical of ANC leaders for allowing the party to descend into corruption and incompetence. He refused to campaign for the party while Jacob Zuma was leader and only did so again in the run-up to this year’s general election. 

Still, it is well known that the slide to dereliction began while he was the leader of the ANC. It was his secretary-general, Kgalema Motlanthe, who famously said in 2007 that “the rot is across the board”.

While Mbeki is correct in saying that the ANC needs to improve the services it provides for people, there is virtually no evidence that it is capable of doing this, despite public reiterations by the current ANC leader, President Cyril Ramaphosa.

Ramaphosa has stated, many times, that the ANC is on the path to “renewal”. And yet, Malusi Gigaba still represents the party in the National Assembly and David Mahlobo is still a deputy minister in Ramaphosa’s government. 

This kind of cynicism is now pervasive in the party.

Mired in scandal


After Mbeki’s speech, Gauteng Premier Panyaza Lesufi said, “Our agenda is renewal and in the process, if we create enemies, history will apologise on our behalf.”

But Lesufi is the leader of an ANC province that has been mired in scandal for decades.

Whether it be the problems in the Gauteng Department of Health (thrown into sharp relief by recent reports from Helen Joseph Hospital), the Life Esidimeni scandal (after which Qedani Mahlangu was re-elected to the PEC of Gauteng) or any other scandal you care to think of, it is impossible to imagine the Gauteng ANC changing course overnight.

The best indicator of this is the fact it has refused to follow the national coalition model and has actively worked to keep the DA out of the provincial administration.

If the Gauteng ANC is unable to reform, it will pay the price at the 2026 local elections.  

This would be a significant step down the road towards a scenario that the chair of the DA’s Federal Executive, Helen Zille, has painted several times: that the ANC will continue to fracture and lose votes, to the point where it becomes increasingly powerless.

The challenge for her party is to grow its share of the vote and perhaps one day become the biggest party in Parliament.

Returning to Mbeki: if a former leader of a political party, who still polls as the most popular political leader in the country, says his party is filled with criminality, does that party have any future?

Many people believe the ANC ceased to be a political party a long time ago and turned into a criminal organisation.

Several years ago, when people raised this issue in public, many in the ANC would come to its defence, often with angry diatribes.

But now, it’s being said by a former president of the party. 

The ANC is incapable of recovering and will not do what Mbeki is asking it to do. Barring the unexpected, its slide into electoral oblivion will continue unabated. DM

Comments

Lawrence Sisitka Sep 17, 2024, 06:13 AM

Unfortunately it really does seem that, despite the constant renewal refrain from the president and others the ANC is too far gone to change course, just look at the continuing decline in local governance. But the DA also needs to get its act together properly if it is to capitalise on this.

Glyn Morgan Sep 17, 2024, 08:18 AM

Please explain your "But the DA also needs to get its act together properly if it is to capitalise on this."

superjase Sep 17, 2024, 09:52 AM

the DA's support is not increasing. in fact, it got fewer votes this year than they did in 2019. if they can't catch the votes being bled by the ANC, those votes will go elsewhere (MK? EFF?). if the DA got 35% and the ANC 20%, would the ANC group up with the DA, or a combo of MK and EFF?

Hidden Name Sep 17, 2024, 05:11 PM

And sadly it wont increase until the middle classes start growing again....commentators always conflate DA support with race. By and large that isn't true. Class, on the other hand echoes rather loudly as a factor indicating support...

Miss Jellybean Sep 17, 2024, 09:55 AM

It's simple their leaders need to stop putting their feet in their mouths & start actively pursing the lost ANC votes

Noelsoyizwap Sep 17, 2024, 01:53 PM

Miss Jellybean, with the abysmal track record of 30 years, current ANC should be far more than enough. A clarion call must be made to other parties, in particular DA, to open up garner more votes.

Steve Chia Sep 17, 2024, 10:23 AM

Placing a known racist in a senior position is a good example of the DA’s inexplicable self-defeatism. The biggest example was abandoning trying to attract the majority of voters. If the GNU fails, the DA truly is the only party capable of fixing things, but as opposition it will never be able to.

Pieter van de Venter Sep 17, 2024, 11:32 AM

1 so-called racist against the majority of ANC leaders in Gauteng??

Pat Collett Sep 17, 2024, 01:42 PM

Racism beats corruption at the polls, it's a personal attack that hits.

Pat Collett Sep 17, 2024, 10:23 PM

Don't imagine that they were the only two racists in the DA.

Noelsoyizwap Sep 17, 2024, 10:46 AM

Agree with Lawrence, indeed DA must get its act together. Because in the absence of a moderate all-inclusive centrist center-left party, there exist common fear of MK/EFF ascendance to power. DA is currently judged as an apartheid denialist party by electorate and it can"t seem able to read.

Just Another Day Sep 17, 2024, 12:51 PM

Thank God for the existence of the DA and their constant good governance and calling out of ANC corruption and bad practices.

Dempstere Sep 17, 2024, 06:27 AM

This is rich coming from an ex-president whose AIDS denialism caused the deaths of millions of South Africans.

Kb1066 . Sep 17, 2024, 08:45 AM

Agreed

Ismail Lagardien Sep 17, 2024, 10:08 AM

I don't deny the impact of his denial. Could you let me know if he should speak on anything, to should be remain silent forever? Thanks

David C Sep 17, 2024, 01:46 PM

He should be prosecuted and jailed. Not sure why Politicians get away literally with industrial-level genocide and then have their purile opinions published like they have any value.

megapode Sep 17, 2024, 10:50 AM

If he was preaching about paying attention to science then I'd agree. But in this case he is simply restating things that he has said before, including when he was in power. Maybe he thinks that this time the ANC will pay attention.

Carol Green Sep 17, 2024, 11:53 AM

100%. And Mbeki was the one who got cadre deployment into high gear.

Terril Scott Sep 17, 2024, 06:08 PM

Point taken. But is what he said true or not?

mand Sep 17, 2024, 07:13 AM

ANC need to cleanse itself and provide service delivery to its loving people.

Keith Wilson Sep 17, 2024, 07:39 AM

If not the ANC, then Who? Sadly, the DA will never get enough support to be the ruling Party. Disillusioned ANC supporters would rather turn to a morally corrupt Party like MK than vote for the Too White DA. Only a true ANC/DA coalition has any chance of getting rid of (some)corruption.

Noelsoyizwap Sep 17, 2024, 09:35 AM

With millions of rands at its disposal, from big business and NGOs, but DA is badly blinded by the glittering ANC blunders.

Pieter van de Venter Sep 17, 2024, 11:36 AM

It is not so much the DA that is at fault. A German university predicted before the early election in Egypt that is will be a disaster. Their opinion was if you roll democracy out for a population that can not understand, the cheap politics of The Muslim Brotherhood will win.

Noelsoyizwap Sep 17, 2024, 06:59 PM

One of Cabanac's views is that democracy is not suitable for Nguni people. You seem in read books that agree with his views. Here is what could adress DA's failures: Connecting with all voters, and telling DA story. Get out and be seen. Teach followers to be DA agents. Learn from past elections.

Jennifer D Sep 17, 2024, 07:48 AM

It’s either absolute incompetence, criminal intent, or both. In every aspect of governance, the ANC continue to fail. The lack of moral values and work ethic are shocking.

Lawrence Sisitka Sep 17, 2024, 07:54 AM

And if the DA can't take advantage we know who will, and who, of course, already have. The li'l ol' skelm-in-chief, apart from everything else, is a master strategist, and Shivambu is no slouch. Their recent shout out to community activists was a stroke of genius. Be afraid ... be very afraid :)!

Johnny Bravo Sep 17, 2024, 08:42 AM

Lawrence, how dare you. 70% of our pop. vote for criminals. Are you suggesting it is the DA's role to convince them to vote for people who are not criminals? Are you honestly suggesting that people would rather vote for criminals than people they think are 'too white'. And the DA must fix this?

Lawrence Sisitka Sep 17, 2024, 09:10 AM

Well Johnny, if the DA are serious, that's just what they will have to do, otherwise it will leave the field open. So they need to be at least as strategic as the others, which at the moment they are not, and they are being outsmarted by we-all-know-who. What other choice is there?

Johnny Bravo Sep 17, 2024, 09:31 AM

The Cape Republic is the solution. Not that we can mention that without gigantic pushback...

Grumpy Old Man Sep 17, 2024, 10:14 AM

Lawrence, their is no silver bullet strategic answer to our situation. The DA proposition is long term, growth focused and not short term populist. Being more populist is a race to the bottom and unlikely to succeed. I am also not convinced that Zuma or Floyd are the master strategists you suggest

Hari Seldon Sep 17, 2024, 10:57 AM

Its not long term growth focussed when you appoint Cabanac as chief of staff!! That's just plain stupid. DA needs good black leaders with same aims - economic growth, BEE is a failure & move 2 correcting privilege with other system, build private sector, destroy corruption etc

Lawrence Sisitka Sep 17, 2024, 02:47 PM

Reaching out to community activists is not necessarily just a populist move, but if backed with credible governance could change everything. The DA needs to think outside the rather narrow box it has fashioned for itself. And don't underestimate the enemy!

Noelsoyizwap Sep 17, 2024, 10:54 AM

Lawrence, here exist a narrative that majority voters are to blame for keeping the corrup ANC in power for 30 years. But if you flip this, as a competent and well resourced party would, for 30 years DA has failed to capitalize on the wrongs of the ANC.

Alan Watkins Sep 17, 2024, 07:59 AM

Stephen Grootes, is that you? Really? No, really? Over the years you have been an apologist for the ANC, with only an occasional criticism from time to time. And now this. I dont disagree with the sentiments expressed, I am just surprised that they came from you.

garethgriffiths.capetown Sep 17, 2024, 09:08 AM

He got rid of his white guilt for awhile by means of his anecdotal attack on that guy that Steenhuisen employed, Cabanac.

J vN Sep 17, 2024, 08:00 AM

Very little has changed over the past 30 years. Around 2/3rds of SA's voters vote for the ANC or its splinter parties, like Cope, the EFF and MK in each election. There is just churn and they simply cannot bring themselves to vote for parties with good policies and which are free of corruption.

Henry Henry Sep 17, 2024, 08:08 AM

Everybody knows the ANC is an organised crime syndicate masquerading as a Southern African liberation movement.

G O Sep 17, 2024, 11:17 AM

You are 100% correct. Their thieving has actually bankrupted South Africa. This is a fact that is backed up by the country's balance sheet and sadly, the trend is almost impossible to revers if they (the ANC) continue to control the piggy bank.

Johnny Bravo Sep 17, 2024, 11:25 AM

Yes but they're a preferable vote and better than people who are 'too white'. That's what this thread is saying and my heart is actually broken for it. I need to tap out.

rswedlake Sep 18, 2024, 10:44 AM

The ANC criminal syndicate wolves were so well dressed up as sheep that the masses were fooled, but I think the sheep disguise has now got too many holes in it.

Noelsoyizwap Sep 18, 2024, 05:36 PM

Lately it's become clear even its staunchest of supporters that DA is den of racists. That's the main reason it will remain a 20% party

Mark Hammick Sep 17, 2024, 08:08 AM

cANCer - the largest criminal organisation in South Africa. The sheep keep voting for the wolves.

Johnny Bravo Sep 17, 2024, 08:28 AM

Yet we are forbidden from discussing creating a new country without them and must live our lives beholden to them, in the hope that this 70% magically realise what's happening?

Skinyela Sep 17, 2024, 04:48 PM

You are not forbidden at all, you can actually do more than just discussing it... You can vote for CapeExit parties, yes they exist and have been contesting elections for a while now.

Noelsoyizwap Sep 17, 2024, 08:48 AM

Good luck to Mbeki for continued flogging a dead horse. It is evidently clear that ANC has yet to learn vital lessons from own missteps. FW de Klerk once prophesied that ANC will be so fractured that, in the end, fighting will be about which faction remains with the name ANC. Now, MK and next..what

Bonzo Gibbon Sep 17, 2024, 09:01 AM

I think the GNU has been a lever of change in the ANC. OK, there are still some entrenched, corrupt old guard, but the reduction of the parliamentary party and what can now be described as DA oversight in ministries, means that Ramaphosa has that much more power in his own party to change things.

Johnny Bravo Sep 17, 2024, 09:52 AM

Copium. We're all tired of copium. Please can we stop the copium.

Bonzo Gibbon Sep 17, 2024, 11:22 AM

I had to google copium. Essentially misplaced optimism. I am optimistic, but with many caveats. There are plenty of good signs for the GNU, although it is early days. Remember that we could have had a govt with MK and EFF.

Johnny Bravo Sep 17, 2024, 11:30 AM

Well at least that's something positive to come out this discussion! Copium is a great word.

ga Sep 17, 2024, 01:57 PM

My word of the day: Copium is a meme term created by combining 2 words together - cope and opium. It is used satirically and is a joke term used to describe a fictional drug that one consumes after suffering a loss, defeat, or disappointment. It is used when the facts do not match reality.

Noelsoyizwap Sep 17, 2024, 09:11 AM

1912, SA’s educated elite met in Bloem to establish a national organization to protest against racial discrimination and to appeal for equal treatment before the law. That organization is now led, largely, by people who cannot analyze a set of numbers and recently a grade 4 has been its president.

Confucious Says Sep 17, 2024, 09:26 AM

It is staggering that the concept of improving the lives of citizens is a "revelation"! It's an admission of incompetency as a governing party! Coming from the AIDS denialist himself...

Malcolm McManus Sep 17, 2024, 09:39 AM

It must be terrible to have devoted your entire life to a bunch of misfits. And even more terrible that you still do. Time to move on.

rswedlake Sep 18, 2024, 10:38 AM

Yes, it must be such a huge disappointment for Mbeki.

Noelsoyizwap Sep 18, 2024, 05:41 PM

Mbeki devoted his live to a good course, which was mainly to rid this country of crime against humanity and racism. He and his colleagues, led a glorious fight

megapode Sep 17, 2024, 10:48 AM

Parties in SA generally need to be better at checking the backgrounds of people they want to put into influential positions. Appointing somebody without making reasonable checks is a poor show. Full stop.

andretait156 Sep 17, 2024, 10:49 AM

I think people forget. The anc/mk/eff etc is a true representation of the voters of this country. Most of our population seem to be criminals too if you look at the crime stats and what is going on around us every day. Criminals vote for criminals.

Just Another Day Sep 17, 2024, 12:50 PM

In my opinion the ANC and its culture of party first and no consequence for corruption is not going to change. If it hasn't changed in the last 30 years, but got steadily worse, there is no hope of trying to transform this party.

Ian Wallace Wallace Sep 17, 2024, 01:34 PM

Yet the ANC got almost twice the votes the DA got. For everyone citizen who believe in the DA two believe in the ANC. The DA seems to have no game plan to grow out of being a 20 percenter party.

ga Sep 17, 2024, 01:59 PM

Ian, I suspect that's more of a reflection of the voters than the DA themselves. Identity politics perhaps?

Johnny Bravo Sep 17, 2024, 03:31 PM

And again, an absolute refusal to accept that the problem is that people would rather vote for criminals due to partisanship, no, the actual problem is that the DA don't know how to fix that. Good grief I hate the internet sometimes.

John Brodrick Sep 17, 2024, 09:29 PM

Mr Mbeki should look in a mirror: had he not prevented the Arms Deal from being properly investigated, and had he not allowed Mr Mugabe to steal an election, much of the misery that followed could have been prevented.

Mbalenhle Khambule Sep 18, 2024, 09:55 AM

Both the DA and ANC have lost ground. The DA has been failing to appeal to the black masses and the former ANC votes are going straight to the MK or EFF and Im afraid it would be safe to say that these two parties will govern SA. I predict this by the 2039 national elections.

rswedlake Sep 18, 2024, 10:37 AM

Good riddance to the ANC. Maybe Mbeki should join the DA.

Noelsoyizwap Sep 18, 2024, 05:46 PM

Devote your entire life fighting against separatism, then at your sun set year, you go join a DA, club of seperatist.

Rob Glenister Sep 19, 2024, 05:30 PM

Great article except for one thing. The DA will never become the biggest party with HZ at the helm and JS doing her bidding. Yet it is as difficult for the DA to change as it is unlikely that the ANC renews.